Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.092834 0.103077 0.113569 0.125095 0.137374 0.150038 0.164060
2025-02-09 0.075754 0.091036 0.107479 0.126367 0.147341 0.169804 0.195566
2025-02-16 0.061992 0.080197 0.100679 0.125135 0.153252 0.184294 0.220881
2025-02-23 0.055735 0.076670 0.101097 0.131166 0.166659 0.206731 0.254902
2025-03-02 0.050384 0.073348 0.101037 0.136043 0.178303 0.226915 0.286301
2025-03-09 0.042485 0.065880 0.095122 0.133151 0.180140 0.235224 0.303604
2025-03-16 0.035513 0.058779 0.088937 0.129258 0.180196 0.240976 0.317548
2025-03-23 0.032849 0.057130 0.089467 0.133578 0.190189 0.258575 0.345608
2025-03-30 0.029953 0.054821 0.088859 0.136224 0.197947 0.273398 0.370349
2025-04-06 0.028019 0.053677 0.089657 0.140586 0.207822 0.290829 0.398344
2025-04-13 0.024841 0.050336 0.087148 0.140321 0.211586 0.300575 0.416890
2025-04-20 0.024576 0.051453 0.090915 0.148570 0.226492 0.324403 0.453015
2025-04-27 0.022097 0.048980 0.089604 0.150108 0.233030 0.338304 0.477712
2025-05-04 0.020180 0.047261 0.089316 0.153077 0.241579 0.354987 0.506258
2025-05-11 0.017531 0.043983 0.086458 0.152243 0.244930 0.364991 0.526477
2025-05-18 0.016948 0.044303 0.089097 0.159323 0.259107 0.389145 0.564862
2025-05-25 0.016104 0.044036 0.090752 0.164950 0.271321 0.410822 0.600235
2025-06-01 0.013597 0.040269 0.086549 0.161692 0.271033 0.415937 0.614250
2025-06-08 0.011205 0.036339 0.081757 0.157270 0.268885 0.418422 0.624751
2025-06-15 0.010617 0.036099 0.083110 0.162193 0.279989 0.438641 0.658409
2025-06-22 0.009779 0.035197 0.083251 0.165204 0.288358 0.455231 0.687424
2025-06-29 0.009293 0.035029 0.084639 0.170160 0.299562 0.475720 0.721675
2025-07-06 0.008131 0.033092 0.082760 0.169859 0.303089 0.485788 0.742245